Elderslie Public School Principal Stood Down, Deon Derrico Siblings, Richard Colbeck Chief Of Staff, Articles C

The principal flaw in the plan is its assumption that under the plan there will still be only two major parties competing for the presidency in 2020. . And in all states but Maine and Nebraska, the candidate who receives the most votes in that state is awarded all of its electoral votes, whether the split is 51% to 49% or 99% to 1%. The NPVIC is an agreement among states designed to guarantee election of the presidential candidate who wins the most popular votes in the 50 states and Washington, D.C. NPV is grounded in two powers delegated to states by the Constitution: the power to design rules for awarding their electoral votes and the power to enter into interstate It fails to reach the ideal of one-person one-vote. On a close popular vote, often defined as a difference of 0.5% or less in the tabulated results, an automatic recount would likely be triggered. The last amendment, the 27th Amendment to the Constitution, was ratified nearly 200 years after it was originally proposed. 48 Vitosha Boulevard, ground floor, 1000, Sofia, Bulgaria, Samploon, Inc. 2022. cons of the national popular vote plan. Copyright 2023 Leaf Group Ltd. / Leaf Group Education, Explore state by state cost analysis of US colleges in an interactive article, Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections: The Electoral College, University of the Pacific: Electoral College Reform, University of Missouri-Kansas City Law School: The Electoral College. The votes of those who do not live in closely divided battleground states effectively count less. Robert Longley is a U.S. government and history expert with over 30 years of experience in municipal government and urban planning. Over the long run the countrys popular vote in presidential elections has roughly been equally split between Republican and Democratic.*. Get breaking news and updates from Common Cause. A close election would trigger the need for a full recount. Donald Trump won the presidential election by securing 304 electoral votes, compared to Hillary Clintons 227 electoral votes. Without any sort of broad support, the politics of the country could become even more fractured than they already are. On a close popular vote, often defined as a difference of 0.5% or less in the tabulated results, an automatic recount would likely be triggered. Because of the winner-take-all rule, a candidate can be elected president without winning the most popular votes nationwide. It would eliminate the Congressional provisions for a non-majority election. It awards all the bonus votes to the winner of the popular vote. Under the electoral college system, the candidates which receive the most votes in each state (or district) receive its assigned electoral votes. The popular vote eliminates this issue too. In the U.S., that means people who lean Democratic live in urban areas, while people who lean Republican live in rural areas. Using the NPV system means that every vote counts the same. The time to stop its momentum is now. However, this also means that regions with a quite low population density will almost have no influence on the election outcome at all since they only have far too few votes to make a real difference. If the National Popular Vote bill was secured within the American government, it would protect every vote and would allow those votes to equally matter in the presidential election. The electoral college leads to a heavy emphasis on swing states and also typically over-represents citizens in rural states. In 2004, for example, candidates George W. Bush and John Kerry campaigned heavily in states such as Nevada while ignoring political issues in New York, a state that Kerry was sure to win, according to the University of the Pacific. For under its plan, the next time the U.S. has very close national vote, a recount would not be of six million votes in one state but of more than 130 million votes in all states and the District of Columbia, all with their own rules for conducting a recount. The NPV movement seeks to create an unfair and unconstitutional system that diminishes the voting rights of citizens throughout the country and raises the prospect of increased voter fraud and. For example, if a state used NPV and voted for candidate A, but candidate B received the most votes nationwide, the state would allocate its presidential electors to candidate B. As the National Popular Vote (NPV) movement steps up its effort to impose a direct election for president, attempting to enlist states with a sufficient number of electors to constitute a majority (268) and to bind them to the winner of the national popular vote, those states considering the proposal might first reflect on the nightmare aftermath of the 2000 presidential election. The NPV Interstate Compact does not eliminate the very complicated Electoral College system that most voters dont really understand. The bill has passed one chamber in 12 additional states with 96 electoral votes. That principle should be expanded to presidential elections. That means the cost of counting all the votes would be duplicated. There are logistical issues that are managed at the local level in each election. That would increase the amount of polarization being experienced in politics today because there would be less of a need to compromise. OKLAHOMA CITY Oklahomans will head to the polls March 7 to decide if the state will become the 22nd in the country to legalize recreational marijuana for use by anyone 21 and older. But the much greater danger to American democracy is that direct elections may make it possible for a president to be elected by no more than 30 percent of the vote, regardless of his or her suitability for office, so long as there is sufficient money and a clever media advisor behind the effort. 4. Here are six reasons why legislators should reject this attempt to jettison our electoral system: 1. It is perhaps the most simplistic form of an election. The first advantage allows for electoral votes to be fairer than the Electoral College (Richards). Only Nebraska and Maine do not. As of July 2020, a National Popular Vote bill has been signed into law in 16 states controlling a total of 196 electoral votes, including 4 small states, 8 medium-sized states, 3 big states (California, Illinois, and New York), and the District of Columbia. National Popular Vote compact pros and cons. Under the current structure of presidential elections in the U.S., the states become a battleground of red states vs. blue states. Explains kimberling, william c., and dave leip's . Our experts will write for you an essay on any topic, with any deadline and requirements from scratch, Electoral College and National Popular Vote Pros and Cons. One of the biggest reasons why voters dont vote is because they feel like their vote doesnt count. This text is available online and is used for gudiance and inspiration, We use cookies to give you the best experience possible. cons of the national popular vote planchicago religious demographics. It would reduce the threshold necessary to win the office. Before the 2016 election, the largest vote deficit in the popular vote was Al Gore securing over 500,000 votes more than George W. Bush. The itineraries of presidential candidates in battleground states (and their allocation of other campaign resources) demonstrate what every gubernatorial or senatorial candidate in every state already knows namely that when every vote matters, the campaign must be run in every part of the state. It makes things easier for extreme parties to gain representation. Hence, the National Popular Vote plan is an interstate compact a type of state law authorized by the U.S. Constitution that enables states to enter into a legally enforceable, contractual obligation to undertake agreed joint actions, which may be delayed in implementation until a requisite number of states join in. The use of the Electoral College has been the only approach the U.S. has used to gain a President, but this way has generated numerous issues. But the biggest problem with changing how we elect our president using the NPV Compact is that its too easy to change it back. Richard F. Potthoff looks critically at a proposed alternative way of electing the US president, the National Popular Vote plan, where all states in an interstate compact which cover 270 or more electoral votes would cast their electoral votes for the candidate who won the nationwide vote, no matter who wins their state. The second advantage is that the all votes would be equally weighed (Richards). The danger of NPV is that it will undermine the complex and vital underpinnings of American democracy. a plan for a national popular vote could undermine the . 1. The discussion around using the popular vote for elections has increased since the results of the 2016 election. 3. I am confident that when we enter the next phase where the popular vote leans Republican that Republicans will change and be adamant that we should elect the president by direct popular vote and Democrats will be arguing why we should keep the Electoral College/Winner-Take-All system. 4. National Popular Vote is a constitutional and practical way to implement nationwide popular election of the President a goal traditionally supported by an overwhelming majority of Americans. The lack of competition and campaigning in a majority of states owes itself not to the existence of the Electoral College's indirect method of choosing presidents but rather to the winner-take-all method of choosing electors in all but two states. 7. every decade states are redistricted could be redrawn to capture house seats and corrupt the Presidential election ashburnham school committee; its his baby now political cartoon meaning; softstar primal sawyer However that presumably rare exception happened in the 2000 election when Florida could not complete their statewide recount in time for the Electoral College deadline and the Supreme Court forced Florida to use their first vote count without a statewide recount. But don't forget, Bush won the popular vote four years later by three million votes. Although faithless electors have not affected the results or outcome of an election yet, in 2016, there were 7 faithless electors. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. A candidate can win the popular vote in enough states to win a majority of electoral votes but still lose the popular vote nationally. It is also true that no president since 1824 has received the votes of a majority of the eligible voters and 18 presidents, including Andrew Jackson, Abraham Lincoln, Woodrow Wilson, Harry S. Truman, John. In the 2016 election, "swing states" that might vote Republican or Democrat like Wisconsin were targets of candidates Donald J. Trump and Hillary R. Clinton. Battleground states would disappear in U.S. elections. More attention is given to the swing states, such as Florida and Iowa, which causes the third problem the Electoral College can cause. After the 2016 presidential election, political science expert Nate Silver wrote that, since the swing states are not likely to support any plan that might reduce their influence over control of the White House, the National Popular Vote bill will not succeed unless the predominately Republican red states adopt it. Bush and Al Gore (Black). Of the 538 Electoral College votes available, Donald J. Trump received 304 votes, Hillary Clinton received 227 votes, and seven votes went to others: three for Colin Powell, one for Faith Spotted Eagle, one for John Kasich, one for Ron Paul, and one for Bernie Sanders). Advantages of the NPV Interstate Compact 1. Here are the essential pros and cons of popular vote elections to examine. Longley, Robert. evergreen funeral home live stream. Retrieved from https://www.thoughtco.com/the-national-popular-vote-plan-3322047. Even the minority party wouldnt be encouraged to negotiate because they could simply stall until the next election. At the moment, 98 more electoral votes are needed to pass this bill in all 50 states (National Conference of State Legislators). Is the National Popular Vote Plan Constitutional? That means some voters, like Republicans in California or Democrats in Mississippi, are voting without power and without attention from their preferred candidates each year. The country could become less stable and divided if he or she did not have a vast amount of support (Richards). Politicians would focus on fewer swing states (Bigger states more potential votes) The United States does not have direct election of its president, yet most national, state and local offices are filled by the candidate with the most votes. 2. tobin james the blend 2017 ; real estate marketing solutions; cons of the national popular vote plan; lassi kefalonia shops cons of the national popular vote plan It is our national motto and is so for a reason. The horror of a potential national recount is only one of the dangers direct presidential elections poses. Web. Part of HuffPost Politics. Definition and Examples. Definition and Examples, How Political Party Convention Delegates are Chosen, What Is a Caucus? The Electoral College is made up of 538 electors and a majority of 270 electoral votes is mandatory to nominate the President. According to Article II, Section 1, "Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress." Over the years, the National Popular Vote bill has been introduced in the legislatures of all 50 states. A Critique of the National Popular Vote October 13, 2008 Policy Analysis No. Security would be improved across the country. Candidates get one vote for every congressional district they win, and then two votes for winning the state-wide vote. 1. All samples were added by students. Similarly, because a national campaign mandates a national message, there would also be a smaller incentive for coalition-building or taking into account the characteristics, needs and desires of citizens in differing states and regions. But in practice it could happen every 10 or 20 years when the Electoral College votes change because the congressional boundaries change with the new population census. But for those people who feel that changing how we elect the president should only be done by constitutional amendment they will feel that using the NPV Compact will undermine the legitimacy of the process even though its perfectly legal and constitutional. There are a number of pros for this method. It would require an Amendment in the U.S. for presidential elections. The National Popular Vote effort, explained The National Popular Vote effort is now halfway to its goal of electing future presidents via the popular vote, after Rhode Island Gov. It has its pros and cons though, many of which critics debate over. That could lead to a very bad situation where, instead of the people voting in November to determine who the next president is, one or two states could effectively decide who becomes the next president simply by joining or withdrawing from the NPV Compact and changing the rules on how the votes for president are counted in the next election. 4. It has been enacted into law in 11 states with 165 electoral votes, and will take effect when enacted by states with 105 more. After the process, the President of the Senate reveals who has officially been voted in as President and Vice President of the United States. The Congressional District method would allocate electoral votes based on the winner of each congressional district. Thats how politics works in America. The President-Elect takes the oath of office and is sworn in as President of the United States on January 20th in the year following the Presidential election (Archives). National Popular Vote values rural and urban voters equally. A simple change in the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact could fix the flaw and still provide the benefits of a popular election. When you cast your ballot, you're not actually voting directly for your favored presidential candidate. These are the states that may go to either major party candidate in the election. It could encourage voter turnout. Although moving to a popular vote election would balance the weight of each vote, it would also create more sway in larger population states. The Electoral College system - the way we really elect our president - has always had its detractors and lost even more public support after the 2016 election, when it became apparent that President-ElectDonald Trump might have lost the nationwide popular vote to Sec. Wyoming had just 3 electoral votes, but only had 255,000 voters as well. E pluribus unum -- out of many, one. Candidates feel these states need a little bit more of their attention and apply pressure to supply these states with solutions to their problems in order to gain their vote. https://www.thoughtco.com/the-national-popular-vote-plan-3322047 (accessed March 4, 2023). The Electoral College is very undemocratic and riddled with issues. PBS: What does voter turnout tell us about the 2016 election. That nightmare may seem like a pleasant dream if NPV has its way. It would eliminate the threat of a faithless elector. The National Popular Vote bill will take effect when enacted into law by states possessing 270 electoral votes a majority of the current 538 electoral votes. The states that join the NPV Compact will not be able to certify their Electoral College Votes until all 50 states and DC certify their state popular votes and any mandated/requested recounts since the Compact state ECVs are dependent on the winner of the national popular vote and not just their own state popular votes. cons of the national popular vote plansuper lemon haze greenhouse. Advantage: Encourages Voter Turnout List of the Cons of Proportional Representation. Currently, 48 of the 50 states follow the winner-take-all rule. Many people may feel that any major change in how we elect the president should be in the Constitution and not in a legal loop hole even if its legal and technically constitutional. The framers enacted the provisions relating to the Electoral College to allow for state innovation. Once enacted, the participating states would cast all of their electoral votes for the presidential candidate winning the nationwide popular vote, thus ensuring that candidate the required 270 electoral votes. Presidential candidates have no reason to poll, visit, advertise, organize, or campaign in states that they cannot possibly win or lose; in 2016, 68% of presidential campaign visits took place in just six states. The National Popular Vote plan is a bill passed by participating state legislatures agreeing that they will cast all of their electoral votes for the presidential candidate winning the nationwide popular vote. To date, the bill has passed at least one legislative chamber in 9 states possessing 82 combined electoral votes: AR, AZ, ME, MI, MN, NC, NV, OK, and OR. That view of democracy recognizes the existence and desirability of organized interests and enshrines that principle under the concept of pluralism. It seeks to be a bulwark against mass hysteria and the hysteria created by mass media. 7. 6. Dont know what Ranked Choice Voting is? If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact becomes law it would be an excellent first step to help get a future amendment to the Constitution to replace the Electoral College/Winner-Take-All system to elect the president with a national popular vote using Ranked Choice Voting. Now, the states are considering the National Popular Vote plan, a system that, while not doing away with the Electoral College system, would modify it to ensure that the candidate winning the national popular vote is ultimately elected president. Around six-in-ten U.S. adults (63%) say the way the president is elected should be changed so that the winner of the popular vote nationwide wins the presidency, while 35% favor keeping the current Electoral College system, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted June 27-July 4, 2022. Change). But if some non-member 1. The danger of NPV is that it will undermine the complex and vital underpinnings of American democracy. The NPV is a multi-state agreement that, when active, would ensure that the presidential candidate who wins the popular vote nationally also wins in the Electoral College. The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact collectively apportions votes to the winner of the overall popular vote without a constitutional amendment abolishing the electoral college or the assent of Congress. Longley, Robert. A switch to the popular vote would eliminate the concept of a battleground state because the issue would be more on issues than states. Many cities and school districts, under threat of a lawsuit by a Malibu attorney, have already adopted or are in the process of changing to district elections rather than remaining citywide or . It sees a healthy and vibrant democracy needing the underpinnings of civil society that rests on the sustained and active engagement of the citizenry and promotes approaches that seek to maximize that involvement. pros and cons." dave leip's atlas of u.s. presidential elections. Hence, the National Popular Vote plan is an interstate compact a type of state law authorized by the U.S. Constitution that enables states to enter into a legally enforceable, contractual obligation to undertake agreed joint actions, which may be delayed in implementation until a requisite number of states join in. Weve already seen this issue take place with the GOP primaries in 2016. This was the intent of the Founding Fathers. 2. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Or states might explore what was recently proposed in Colorado -- that electors be allocated in proportion to each candidate's share of the popular vote above a certain threshold. That effectively means that votes in the the 75% of the country that are in swing states effectively dont count at all. The issue raised by the National Popular Vote campaign is fundamental: What kind of a democracy should America be? The official 2016 election results from the Electoral College gave Donald J. Trump the victory with 306 electoral votes v. Hillary Clinton's 232 votes. Secondly, it creates a minimalist depiction in the minds of the candidate towards more than 40 states. Colorado is on the verge of joining a nationwide movement that could eventually change how we choose the next president of the United States. Imagine a scenario where a presidential candidate focuses on Los Angeles, New York City, Portland, OR and Seattle. 3. The Constitution specifically leaves details like how the electoral votes are cast up to the states. A plan to enact the National Popular Vote was introduced in the Michigan Legislature on Wednesday. Under the electoral college, the majority votes of states assign electoral votes to a candidate, which then creates a majority total required for a victory. The amendment requires that any change to the rate of compensation for members of Congress can only take effect after a subsequent election in the House of Representatives. 5. It isnt impossible to pass a Constitutional amendment, though history shows that it is not an easy process to complete. Since 2008, 15 states and the District of Columbia have passed laws to adopt the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC), which is an multi-state agreement to commit electors to. Although this may limit the amount of diversity that occurs in office, and may generate extra financial costs, the argument could be made that these risks outweigh the results of an election where a majority of states, not a majority of people, put someone into office. List of the Cons of Using the Popular Vote 1. Most recently, the bill was passed by a bipartisan 4016 vote in the Republican-controlled Arizona House, 2818 in Republican-controlled Oklahoma Senate, 574 in Republican-controlled New York Senate, and 3721 in Democratic-controlled Oregon House." It gives each vote an equal amount of power. But with the NPV Compact a change in party control of just one or two states could restore the old system of electing the president and then four years later it could be changed back. The bill has crossed paths with 36 legislative chambers and has been sponsored or voted for by 3,112 state legislators (National Popular Vote). A direct popular election would make it more possible for third-party candidates to succeed and would also encourage political parties to become more radical and extreme. The selection of presidential electors is specifically entrusted to the states by the Constitution. As a result, the bill will take effect when enacted by states possessing an additional 74 electoral votes.